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Market Commentary

U.S. Distillate Demand is Down

May 21, 2020

The basic outlook that production is lower, and demand is going up as lockdowns ease has continued to support this rally. The selloff that put in the lows in April was extreme and since those lows, ULSD has rallied $0.44 cents and RBOB has rallied $0.60 cents and technically crude […]

Fed Looks to Keep Economic Recovery Going

May 20, 2020

The API released their inventory update yesterday afternoon and it showed crude oil stocks down 4.8 million barrels and the stocks of crude oil at Cushing, Ok were done 5 million barrels. Gasoline stocks were down 651,000 barrels and distillate stocks were down 5.08 million barrels. About 108 million people […]

Vaccine News & Fuel Demand Recovery

May 19, 2020

Crude oil and refined fuel product prices rose significantly yesterday and reached 2-month highs for most indexes. The rise in prices yesterday was mainly driven by good news about testing of a potential COVID-19 vaccine, positive comments from the Federal Reserve, rising U.S. equities, and signs of fuel demand increasing […]

Oil Market Rebalancing Underway

May 18, 2020

As more places around the globe start to reopen after shutdowns the outlook for many investors and traders is positive and the market is up this morning on this optimism. Production cuts have happened faster than many thought and demand is slowly coming back with the reopening creating the thought […]

Oil Price Contango Narrows

May 15, 2020

The market had a strong up day yesterday as the bulls jumped on the bandwagon after a selloff that took prices to the low end of the market’s trading range and have now rallied back to the top of that range. Many are saying the bullish inventory report, the first […]

Fed Comments Worry Market

May 14, 2020

The comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell were concerning to the market and created selling pressure. The worrisome outlook he gave for the economy and talk that more support would be needed to keep the economy going were enough to see energy prices pushed lower despite what many saw […]

Motorist Traffic Fell 19% in March

May 13, 2020

The inventory report from the API said that crude stocks were up 7.6 million barrels and that the crude stocks at Cushing, Ok were down 2.3 million barrels. Gasoline stocks were called down 1.9 million barrels and distillate stocks were up 4.7 million barrels. Estimates from Reuters for today’s DOE […]

India Fuel Demand Fell 45.8% in April

May 12, 2020

There are several members of OPEC that are making voluntary additional production cuts to try and remove the glut of oil in the market and support prices. A Saudi Arabian energy ministry official said that the ministry has directed Saudi Aramco to cut its crude oil production for June by […]

U.S. Rig Count Hits 2009 Low

May 11, 2020

The Baker Hughes Rig Count was down 33 oil rigs with the total oil rigs down to 292 rigs. Last year at this time the US had 805 crude oil rigs online. Crude oil rigs have fallen by a total of 391 rigs over the past 8 weeks. The US […]

Fed Officials Do Not Expect Quick Rebound in Economy

May 8, 2020

Crude prices were higher in early trading yesterday as news of Saudi Arabia raising their selling price for oil and an increase in Chinese export for April were supportive news. Price did ease off the highs as the market got to the end of the days as more global demand […]

Gasoline Demand is Growing

May 7, 2020

Gasoline demand was up, and distillate demand was down in the weekly DOE inventory update. Distillate stocks increased by 9.52 million barrels and that put selling pressure on the market. Gasoline stocks were down 3.16 million barrels and that fact was overall supportive to gasoline which sold off less than […]

Oil Production Cuts Will Have Long Term Impact

May 6, 2020

The API  report out yesterday afternoon called crude oil stocks up 8.4 million barrels compared with estimate for today’s DOE report for a build of 7.8 million barrels from the Reuters survey. API said that crude oil stocks at Cushing, Ok were up 2.7 million barrels.  Gasoline stocks were down […]

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