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Market Commentary

Moody’s downgrades US credit rating

May 19, 2025

The Baker Hughes Rig Count dropped by one to a total of 473. Last year at this ti,me there were 497 active oil rigs. Sultan Al Jaber, Abu Dhabi oil giant ADNOC’s chief executive, said UAE investments in the US energy sector will increase to $440 billion by 2035 from […]

China becomes largest buyer of Canadian oil

May 16, 2025

The energy markets are mixed here this morning and there is no fresh market moving news. Marekts have run into technical resistance and there is no news to push them through those levels at this point. OPEC+ is increasing their oil production and there is the chance a deal between […]

US-Iran nuclear talks continue to progress

May 15, 2025

The DOE inventory report had crude oil inventories up 3.45 million barrels, putting total stocks at 441.830 million and last year they were 457.020. Gasoline supplies were down 1.02 million putting total stocks t 224.706 and last year there were 227.767. Distillates were down 3.16 million putting total supplies at […]

Trump reiterates call for lower interest rates

May 14, 2025

The energy markets are a bit softer this morning after yesterday’s strong rebound that has run into some technical resistance and created a bit of a pullback. The API inventory report had crude oil up 4.3 million barrels, gasoline down 1.4 million and distillates down 3.7 million. The average estimates […]

Energy markets rebound on US-China trade news

May 13, 2025

The energy markets had a strong rebound on positive China and the US trade talk news. The reaction in the markets was on the headline news that they had agreed to lower tariffs for 90 days. I still think we need to see how the details shake out. I have […]

ConocoPhilips reduces global oil demand outlook

May 12, 2025

Energy markets are up strong this morning on the news that trade tension between the US and China have deescalated and a 90-day reduction of US tariffs on China from 145% to 30% will take place and China tariffs on US goods will come down from 125% to 10%. The […]

Bearish news from OPEC+

May 5, 2025

The Baker Hughes Rig Count had oil rigs down 4 to a total of 479 and last year at this time there were 499 oil rigs in operations. I saw a couple reports calling US oil production down as the result of low crude oil prices. I am not sure […]

US GDP contracts

May 1, 2025

The US GDP for Quarter 1 was a disappointment and helped to push energy prices lower. Q1 GDP was down 0.3% and was estimated at up 0.3%. The final economy reading for Q4 2024 was 2.4%, which was a significant drop. This report put pressure on prices and then it […]

Consumer confidence fell dramatically in April

April 30, 2025

The energy markets pulled back in yesterday’s trading, and this is encouraging for the bears, but they need to do more and take out support levels if these markets are going to test lower levels. The API had crude oil supplied up 3.76 million barrels, gasoline down 3.14 million barrels […]

Selling pressure mounts on crude and fuel

April 29, 2025

Crude oil and refined fuel prices remain under some selling pressure here this morning. The trade war between China and the US is one of the main items putting pressure on prices because this is seen as impacting demand growth negatively. One of the other items is OPEC+ saying they […]

All eyes on trade negotiations

April 28, 2025

There appeared to be very little conviction in the market on Friday. The energy markets all traded in very tight ranges. Baker Hughes reported the oil rigs increased by 1 to a total of 481 rigs. Last year at this time there were 511 oil rigs. US natural gas drilling […]

Energy prices bounce from recent lows

April 25, 2025

China’s government could be suspending some of its 125% tariffs on some US imports, including ethane and possibly propane. There could be additional exceptions as well and this news is being seen as encouraging this morning and has put a bit of softness in prices. Energy prices have bounced off […]

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