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Market Commentary

US-Iran inching toward a deal?

February 18, 2026

The energy market pulled back after Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, said Iran and he US reached an understanding on the main “guiding principles” in a second round of nuclear talks in Geneva. Work still needs to be done, and this doesn’t mean an agreement is on the way, there […]

Prices trade higher as Trump considers seizing Iranian oil tankers

February 11, 2026

The energy markets are stuck in congestion trying to figure out what will be the next shoe to drop. Crude traded in a dollar range yesterday. There is currently no conviction and that showed up in the volume of trade which was on the light side yesterday. The API inventory […]

Traders watching the US-Iran situation

February 9, 2026

Crude oil is trading sideway this morning after a quiet week last week that saw the Iran and US talks put some softness in prices as tensions eased. Iran has supposedly refused to end enrichment of nuclear fuel but emphasized their willingness to negotiate and prevent a US military strike.  […]

Trump weighs options with Iran

January 30, 2026

Energy prices rose again in yesterday’s trading due to concerns of a US and Iran conflict, the EIA reporting a surprise drop in US crude oil inventories for the week ending January 23rd, and the US dollar falling to a new 4-year low. US sources said President Donald Trump is […]

Winter storm hampers US refineries

January 27, 2026

Front month HO had a strong up day as the cold weather drives the front month futures contract higher on heating demand. The front-month contract settled over 0.13 cents higher on the day. At one point this weekend, the market saw all-time highs of heating oil usage in New England […]

Chinese refinery output grows

January 21, 2026

The government of Venezuela got it first payment from the sale of oil by the US government that generated $500 million dollars. Venezuela got roughly $00 million dollars of much needed money injected into their economy for the first time in months. China’s refinery throughput in 2025 rose 4.1% year […]

Geopolitical concerns are pushing prices higher

January 9, 2026

How can the US be getting 30 to 50 million barrels of oil in an already oversupplied market, and prices go higher? There must be more to this market outlook than Venezuelan oil, and I think it is the country itself. How can anyone know how it will be governed […]

Reuters survey respondents expect global oil market pressure in 2026

January 6, 2026

UBS said the outlook for Venezuela remains highly uncertain with short term risk to oil production skewed to the downside. It said that over the next 12 months, it does not expect any significant impact on global oil markets balances. UBS forecast global oil demand to increase by about 1.2 […]

Uncertainty swirls in Venezuela

January 5, 2026

The U.S. intervention in Venezuela has most everyone’s attention. And of course, the main headline we’ve all seen is that Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves in the world.  At this point, there are more questions than answers about what this all looks like moving forward. Specifically for energy, […]

DOE reports energy inventories tick upward

December 30, 2025

The DOE inventory report released yesterday late in the afternoon. It had crude oil inventories up 410,000 barrels, gasoline inventories up 2.9 million barrels and distillates up 202,000 barrels. The builds across the board helped to pull the market back some, but prices still finished higher. Geopolitical news has dominated […]

Iran declares full-scale war on US-Israel-Europe

December 29, 2025

Baker Hughes reports 409 oil rigs are in service, down from 483 at this time last year. On Friday, the energy markets were lower on an optimistic tone from President Trump and President Zelensky on their talks to move the peace agreement closer to a reality. But over the weekend […]

US Intercepts two tankers off the Venezuelan coast

December 22, 2025

The energy markets will be closed on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. The markets will resume normal hours on Friday, December 26.  That means no forward contract will be available on Wednesday and Thursday.  The energy markets are up a bit to start this short Christmas week with many traders […]

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