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Market Commentary

Volatility and uncertainty grip markets

April 22, 2025

Over the course of the last three weeks WTI crude oil has traded in a $14 dollar range. The market now sits right in the middle of that range. This market could go in either direction from here. Expect the volatility to remain high as there are many uncertainties surrounding […]

US-Iran work on nuclear deal

April 21, 2025

Crude oil is down over a $1.50 per barrel this morning on the news that talks between the US and Iran over the weekend where much more positive than just about everyone expected. They began to work on the framework for a potential nuclear deal. Of course, we all know […]

Propane exports pick up before tariffs kick in

April 17, 2025

The propane inventory report had supplies down 1.284 million barrels, putting total US supplies at 44.367 million and last year at this time there were 55.694. Midwest inventories were up 189,000 barrels putting total Midwest inventories at 9.764 and last year there were 12.540. Gulf Coast inventories were down 1.201 […]

JP Morgan lowers crude price forecast for 2025 & 2026

April 16, 2025

As we move closer to the Easter Holiday and a short work week for many, trading has been seeing less volume. With a lot of uncertainty surrounding the markets, sometimes the best strategy is to do nothing, and it appears many traders have taken off for a long holiday weekend. Energy markets […]

Goldman Sachs predicts two years of recessionary crude prices

April 15, 2025

Exploration and production companies have already reacted to the lower crude prices as we saw yesterday with fracking crews down 10, dropping from 205 to 195. Several firms have said they will focus on drilled but uncompleted wells during this lower-price environment to conserve cash. Goldman Sachs is predicting recessionary […]

OPEC cuts 2025 demand forecast

April 14, 2025

Baker Hughes had oil rigs down 9 to a total of 480 and last year at this time there were 506 oil rigs in operation. This is understandable with a roughly 10 dollar per barrel decline in prices. Completion crews also took a big hit this week down 10 and […]

Volatility reigns with tariff uncertainty

April 11, 2025

The energy markets pulled back off the highs from yesterday’s rally on the 90-day pause of tariffs. These last few days are a reminder of how volatile these markets can be and how quickly many are willing to call a bottom in the market. It also gets complicated by the […]

Crude prices surged when Trump announced a tariff pause

April 10, 2025

The DOE inventory report had crude oil inventories up 2.55 million barrels, gasoline inventories down 1.60 million barrels, and distillates down 3.54 million barrels. The propane inventory report had propane inventories up 1.510 million barrels to a total of 45.651. Midwest inventories were up 149,000 barrels and Gulf Coast inventories […]

China and US continue raising tariffs against each other

April 9, 2025

The API reported that crude oil stocks were down 1.1 million barrels, gasoline up 210,000, distillates down 1.8 million barrels. The estimates for today’s DOE inventory report are crude to be up 1.421 million barrels, gasoline with a draw of 1.513 million and distillates with a build of 264,000. The […]

Major banks raise risk of US recession

April 8, 2025

Energy prices closed down in yesterday’s trading by 2.1%in a very volatile day. In the morning trading hours around 10:10 am EST oil prices rose sharply by about 3% after news reports that President Trump was considering a 90-day pause to tariffs, except on China. However, the White House quickly […]

Markets roil under tariff fears

April 7, 2025

US equities closed their worst week since 2020 on Friday, as China announced retaliatory tariffs on the US, leading to concerns about a global economic slowdown. Crude oil prices continue to decline on worries about a recession and slow global demand with concerns about a trade war between the US […]

Market reacts strongly to tariff news

April 4, 2025

Tariffs and more production from OPEC+ sank energy prices yesterday. The news of these two events throws a ton of uncertainty into these market. These markets are likely to react to headlines related to these two items for the next several days. Today, being Friday, we might see a bit […]

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