Market Commentary
US and China Increase Refinery Activity
May 10, 2024
The market was very subdued in yesterday’s trading and yesterday’s trading volume was on the light side. As is normally the case there is a lot of uncertainty and a ton of questions to be answered about these markets. Energy markets just continue to consolidate buying time and looking for […]
US Seeking to Replenish Strategic Petroleum Reserve
May 8, 2024
The API report put out yesterday evening called crude oil supplies up 509,000 barrels, gasoline supplies up 1.46 million barrels, and distillates supplies up 1.713 million barrels. The average estimates for the DOE inventory report this morning are crude stocks to be down 1.066 million barrels, gasoline stocks down 1.255 […]
IEA Forecasts EV Sales Growth
May 7, 2024
The energy markets are mixed this morning as there is confusion and a mix of stories about the Israel and Hamas ceasefire. Hours before Israel began and attack on Rafah, Hamas agreed to a ceasefire proposal from mediators. This was all to win the political sentiment of the day. But […]
Peace Talks Fade in Middle East
May 6, 2024
The Baker Hughes Rig Count had oil rigs down 7 to a total of 499 oil rigs. Last year there were 588 oil rigs online. Despite the decline in rigs production has been up. Oil production in the US is up 800,000 bpd from 2023 to 2024. The current market […]
Fed Holds Interest Rates at 23-Year High
May 3, 2024
The energy complex was mixed in yesterday’s trading as it continues to consolidate looking for direction. Most traders are very unlikely to want to go home short the market for the weekend, so the market will most likely see short covering today for the weekend and then continue to consolidate […]
Energy Prices Look to Rebound After Yesterday’s Selloff
May 2, 2024
The DOE inventory report had crude oil stocks up a big 7.27 million barrels which was more than expected and it sent the market down. Gasoline inventories were up 340,000 barrels and distillates were down 730,000 barrels. Total US crude oil inventories are now at 460.890 million barrels and last […]
EIA Reports US Crude Production Hit Highest Levels Since 2021
May 1, 2024
The API inventory numbers called crude oil supplies up 4.906 million barrels, gasoline down 1.483 million barrels, and distillates down 2.187 million barrels. The average estimate for today’s DOE inventory update from the Bloomberg survey are for crude stocks to be down 2.018 million barrels, gasoline down 1.135 million barrels […]
Shadow Tanker Fleet Moving Sanctioned Oil
April 29, 2024
S&P Global Commodities at Sea estimates monthly imports of US diesel and gasoil into Europe has remained above 1 million metric tons for every month since December. Israel officials told their Egyptian counterparts on Friday that Israel is ready to give hostages negotiations one last chance to reach a deal […]
Eurozone Business Expands at Fastest Pace in Nearly a Year
April 24, 2024
The API inventory report called crude down 3.23, gasoline was down 595,000, and distillates were up 724,000. Crude stocks at Cushing, Okla., were down 898,000 barrels. The average estimates for today’s DOE inventory update from the Bloomberg survey are crude oil up 2.085 million barrels, gasoline stocks down 1.291 million, […]
Risk Premium Continues to Fall Out of Market
April 23, 2024
With no real supply disruptions, the risk premium continues to exit the market, and prices are nearing levels that, if broken, could signal a larger selloff. There are still fundamental concerns for this market, but right now, they seem to be on the back burner. The US has implemented some […]
Dollar Rallies As Rate Cuts Appear Less Likely
April 22, 2024
Baker Hughes reported that oil rigs were up 5 to a total of 511 and last year there were 591 oil rigs. US oil producers have decreased rigs but continue to find and pump out more oil with near record production for many months now. But despite their discipline and […]
Israel Carried Out Limited Military Strike Against Iran
April 19, 2024
Israel has retaliated against Iran and the market reacted higher on the first news of these attacks but has since turned around and is trading in negative territory. WTI crude oil rallied nearly $ 3 dollars on the news of the attack to over $85 dollar per barrel. The calendar […]

