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Market Commentary

Energy Prices Look to Rebound After Yesterday’s Selloff

May 2, 2024

The DOE inventory report had crude oil stocks up a big 7.27 million barrels which was more than expected and it sent the market down. Gasoline inventories were up 340,000 barrels and distillates were down 730,000 barrels. Total US crude oil inventories are now at 460.890 million barrels and last […]

EIA Reports US Crude Production Hit Highest Levels Since 2021

May 1, 2024

The API inventory numbers called crude oil supplies up 4.906 million barrels, gasoline down 1.483 million barrels, and distillates down 2.187 million barrels. The average estimate for today’s DOE inventory update from the Bloomberg survey are for crude stocks to be down 2.018 million barrels, gasoline down 1.135 million barrels […]

Shadow Tanker Fleet Moving Sanctioned Oil

April 29, 2024

S&P Global Commodities at Sea estimates monthly imports of US diesel and gasoil into Europe has remained above 1 million metric tons for every month since December. Israel officials told their Egyptian counterparts on Friday that Israel is ready to give hostages negotiations one last chance to reach a deal […]

Eurozone Business Expands at Fastest Pace in Nearly a Year

April 24, 2024

The API inventory report called crude down 3.23, gasoline was down 595,000, and distillates were up 724,000. Crude stocks at Cushing, Okla., were down 898,000 barrels. The average estimates for today’s DOE inventory update from the Bloomberg survey are crude oil up 2.085 million barrels, gasoline stocks down 1.291 million, […]

Risk Premium Continues to Fall Out of Market

April 23, 2024

With no real supply disruptions, the risk premium continues to exit the market, and prices are nearing levels that, if broken, could signal a larger selloff. There are still fundamental concerns for this market, but right now, they seem to be on the back burner. The US has implemented some […]

Dollar Rallies As Rate Cuts Appear Less Likely

April 22, 2024

Baker Hughes reported that oil rigs were up 5 to a total of 511 and last year there were 591 oil rigs. US oil producers have decreased rigs but continue to find and pump out more oil with near record production for many months now. But despite their discipline and […]

Israel Carried Out Limited Military Strike Against Iran

April 19, 2024

Israel has retaliated against Iran and the market reacted higher on the first news of these attacks but has since turned around and is trading in negative territory. WTI crude oil rallied nearly $ 3 dollars on the news of the attack to over $85 dollar per barrel. The calendar […]

Traders Are Concerned with Potential Israeli Response to Iranian Attack

April 16, 2024

Energy prices were lower in yesterday’s trading as Israel’s defense system performed very well against Iran missile and drone attack. Since there was no reported damage to energy infrastructure some of the risk premium came out of the market. Traders are still concerned about what Israel’s response will be and […]

Iran Launches Retaliatory Attack on Israel

April 15, 2024

Iran launched a retaliatory attack against Israel over the weekend. Many were concerned that energy markets would jump higher once the energy markets opened trading on Sunday night. The response from the markets have been very muted. Most market analyst are saying that Iran’s attack was in the words of […]

Energy Markets Are Higher on Fears of Iranian Retaliation Against Israel

April 12, 2024

The energy markets did selloff in yesterday’s trading with HO down roughly 0.04, gasoline down .01, and crude oil down 1.10. Prices were correcting and the bulls need to get to work here soon to save the potential for more upside. The market needed a correction, and they are getting […]

Inflation Rose Higher Than Expected in March

April 11, 2024

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2024 rose more than expected at the higher end of the ranges expected. The core CPI rose 0.4% in March versus February and 3.8% in March 2024 versus March 2023. These inflation numbers will give the Fed less incentive to cut rates any […]

Vitol Chief Warns Spot Crude Prices Could Reach $100 Per Barrel

April 10, 2024

The average estimates for the DOE report on the Bloomberg survey is for crude oil stocks to be up 466,000 barrels, gasoline down 1.686 million and distillates down 893,000 barrels. The API inventory numbers called crude oil up 3.034 million barrels, gasoline down 609,000 and distillates up 120,000. In its […]

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