Market Commentary
Energy prices bounce from recent lows
April 25, 2025
China’s government could be suspending some of its 125% tariffs on some US imports, including ethane and possibly propane. There could be additional exceptions as well and this news is being seen as encouraging this morning and has put a bit of softness in prices. Energy prices have bounced off […]
OPEC+ deals with over production
April 24, 2025
The DOE inventory report had crude oil stocks down 240,000 barrels, gasoline stocks down 4.48 million, and distillates down 2.35 million. Total crude oil stocks were at 443.104 million and last year they were 453.625. Inventories are sitting right now in the middle of the three range. Total gasoline inventories […]
IMF lowers global economic growth forecast
April 23, 2025
The API inventory estimates called crude oil inventories down 4.6 million barrels, gasoline inventories down 1.6 million barrels, and distillate inventories down 2.2 million barrels. The US issued fresh sanctions targeting an Iranian LNG and crude oil shipping baron and his corporate network. This is despite progress in talks with […]
Volatility and uncertainty grip markets
April 22, 2025
Over the course of the last three weeks WTI crude oil has traded in a $14 dollar range. The market now sits right in the middle of that range. This market could go in either direction from here. Expect the volatility to remain high as there are many uncertainties surrounding […]
US-Iran work on nuclear deal
April 21, 2025
Crude oil is down over a $1.50 per barrel this morning on the news that talks between the US and Iran over the weekend where much more positive than just about everyone expected. They began to work on the framework for a potential nuclear deal. Of course, we all know […]
Propane exports pick up before tariffs kick in
April 17, 2025
The propane inventory report had supplies down 1.284 million barrels, putting total US supplies at 44.367 million and last year at this time there were 55.694. Midwest inventories were up 189,000 barrels putting total Midwest inventories at 9.764 and last year there were 12.540. Gulf Coast inventories were down 1.201 […]
JP Morgan lowers crude price forecast for 2025 & 2026
April 16, 2025
As we move closer to the Easter Holiday and a short work week for many, trading has been seeing less volume. With a lot of uncertainty surrounding the markets, sometimes the best strategy is to do nothing, and it appears many traders have taken off for a long holiday weekend. Energy markets […]
Goldman Sachs predicts two years of recessionary crude prices
April 15, 2025
Exploration and production companies have already reacted to the lower crude prices as we saw yesterday with fracking crews down 10, dropping from 205 to 195. Several firms have said they will focus on drilled but uncompleted wells during this lower-price environment to conserve cash. Goldman Sachs is predicting recessionary […]
OPEC cuts 2025 demand forecast
April 14, 2025
Baker Hughes had oil rigs down 9 to a total of 480 and last year at this time there were 506 oil rigs in operation. This is understandable with a roughly 10 dollar per barrel decline in prices. Completion crews also took a big hit this week down 10 and […]
Volatility reigns with tariff uncertainty
April 11, 2025
The energy markets pulled back off the highs from yesterday’s rally on the 90-day pause of tariffs. These last few days are a reminder of how volatile these markets can be and how quickly many are willing to call a bottom in the market. It also gets complicated by the […]
Crude prices surged when Trump announced a tariff pause
April 10, 2025
The DOE inventory report had crude oil inventories up 2.55 million barrels, gasoline inventories down 1.60 million barrels, and distillates down 3.54 million barrels. The propane inventory report had propane inventories up 1.510 million barrels to a total of 45.651. Midwest inventories were up 149,000 barrels and Gulf Coast inventories […]
China and US continue raising tariffs against each other
April 9, 2025
The API reported that crude oil stocks were down 1.1 million barrels, gasoline up 210,000, distillates down 1.8 million barrels. The estimates for today’s DOE inventory report are crude to be up 1.421 million barrels, gasoline with a draw of 1.513 million and distillates with a build of 264,000. The […]