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Market Commentary

Houthis keep attacking vessels in the Red Sea

August 13, 2026

The DOE inventory report had crude oil up a big 17.4 million barrels, gasoline down 968,000 barrels, and distillate down 10,000 barrels. Even with the big build in crude oil prices were higher but not substantially and they are pulling back today as the Iran US news leans more favorable […]

Iran lists demands to reopen Strait of Hormuz

August 10, 2026

The Baker Hughes Rig Count Report had oil rigs up 1 rug to a total of 451 oil rigs in operation and last year at this time there were 410 oil rigs in operation. Energy prices are higher his morning as Iran has more demands for the US. President Trump […]

Houthis attack oil tankers in Red Sea

July 24, 2026

Energy prices have been on a run higher, building more of a risk premium into the market as tension remain high and the stakes escalate. The upside was helped by a report that the Houthis hit two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. The Houthis announced they had carried […]

US steps up bombing campaign in Iran

July 17, 2026

The market is waiting to see what comes next and if the US will increase air strikes and attack bridges and power facilities. If that happens, Iran wants its allies, the Houthi Rebels in Yemen to close the Red Sea. Tensions remain high and the market watches to see what […]

Ukrainian drone strikes reduce Russian oil refining to 21-year low

July 15, 2026

The API called crude oil supplies down 564,000, gasoline down 1.66 and distillate down 73,000. The energy complex traded higher again yesterday as things continued to escalate in the Middle East. President Trump had proposed the ideas of charging a fee for ships to pass through the strait. Thankfully this […]

Crude Weakens Despite Tight Product Inventories

July 2, 2026

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported crude oil inventories declined by 3.78 million barrels last week. Gasoline inventories fell by 2.33 million barrels, while distillate stocks increased by 2.48 million barrels. Propane inventories rose by 1.259 million barrels to 91.306 million barrels. That compares with 76.651 million barrels a […]

Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic remains well below normal

July 1, 2026

The API reported U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks declined by 2.1 million barrels. Distillate inventories increased by 2.9 million barrels. The United States and Iran continue peace negotiations in Doha, but progress appears fragile. According to The Wall Street Journal, an […]

Big banks lower crude price forecast

June 30, 2026

There are several big investment banks revising down their crude price forecast as it appears the world has done a better job than anyone expected dealing with the disruptions out of the Middle East caused by the war. Global inventories are low and this is a concern, but many market […]

US-Iran tensions flare despite ceasefire agreement

June 29, 2026

Oil prices are up this morning after more flare ups over the weekend sparked investors to put more of a risk premium into the market. Both the US and Iran have said they would stand down for now and allow vessels to move freely in the strait after a weekend […]

US-Iran Continue Negotiations

June 22, 2026

There were several headlines throughout the weekend as the negotiations between the US and Iran continued. As Israeli continued some military action in Lebanon over the weekend, Iran threatened to end negotiations and President Trump warned of potential military actions against Iran. Tensions were eventually eased, and reports say progress […]

Three Saudi ships move through Strait of Hormuz

June 18, 2026

The DOE inventory report had crude oil inventories down 8.26 million barrels, gasoline supplies down 910,000 barrels and distillate up 950,000 barrels. Total US crude oil supplies are at 418.222 million barrels, last year 420.942 and the 3-year average is 447.113. US crude production remains strong at over the 13 […]

Big banks lower crude price forecasts

June 17, 2026

The average estimates for today’s inventory update from DOE report from the Bloomberg survey is crude oil supplies down 3.692 million, gasoline down 759,000 and distillates down 485,000. The API inventory report called crude oil supplies down 8.33, gasoline up 2.47, and distillates down 416,000. The Fed is expected to […]

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