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Market Commentary

European Countries Face Margin Calls From Spiking Natural Gas Prices

September 7, 2022

Bloomberg reported that as a result of the spike in natural gas prices European energy companies are facing margin calls of $1.5 trillion dollars. This can dry up liquidity which in turn leads to even greater volatility. It seems strange that Russia has cut supplies via the Nord Stream pipeline […]

US Fuel Inventories Remain Below 5-Year Averages

September 6, 2022

Energy markets were higher on Friday and were supported by the US Labor Department reporting a better than expected growth in US jobs for August, and a Baker Hughes report saying 9 crude oil rigs came offline for the week, the 4th weekly drop. OPEC+ yesterday made what most are […]

Start of Hurricane Season Less Active Than Expected

August 30, 2022

Crude oil prices rallied more than 4% yesterday supported by recent civil unrest in Libya’s capital city causing concerns that crude oil output could fall significantly. Also supporting crude prices is the idea that OPEC+ will cut production if an Iran nuclear deal gets done. According to the Department of […]

Fed warns of ‘some pain’ ahead as it fights to bring down inflation

August 29, 2022

OPEC plans to discuss a cut to production in their next meeting on September 5. I think the only way they scale back is if the Iran nuclear deal get done. The Baker Hughes Rig Count had oil rigs were up 4 oil rigs to a total of 605 and […]

Fuel Stocks are Down and SPR at Lowest Level Since 1985

August 25, 2022

The government’s inventory report said that crude oil stocks were down 3.28 million barrels, the estimate was for a draw of 1.961 million. This now puts total stocks at 421.672 million and last year there were 432.564 million. Gasoline stocks were down 27,000 barrels and the estimate were for stock […]

Market Watchers Expect Hawkish Comments from Fed Chair on Friday

August 24, 2022

The API reported that crude stocks were down 5.6 million barrels, gasoline up 268,000 and distillates up 1.1 million barrels. The average estimates for today’s DOE inventory update are for crude stocks to be down 1.961 million barrels, gasoline stocks down 2.046 million barrels, and distillate stocks up 359,000 barrels. […]

Iranian Nuclear Deal is a Wild Card for the Energy Market

August 22, 2022

The Baker Hughes Rig Count Report had no change for oil rigs in this reporting week. Oil rigs stayed the same at 601 rigs compared to last year when there were 405 oil rigs. The following is from Bloomberg:The buyers in South Korea, India, and China have picked up substantial […]

Economic Concerns Pushing Oil Pricing Downward

August 19, 2022

Consulting firm BCA said EU embargoes on Russian crude oil will tighten supplies by 1.6 million bpd this year and 2.0 million bpd net year. Due to tight oil supplies, BCA expects Brent crude oil to rise to $119 by year end. However, Russia is forecasting rising oil output and […]

Housing Data Suggest US Economy May Be Slowing Down

August 17, 2022

The API inventory report said that crude oil stocks were down 448,000 barrels, gasoline inventories were down 4.5 million barrels and distillate stocks were down 759,000 barrels. The average estimates for today’s DOE inventory update from the Bloomberg survey are for crude oil stocks to be down 259,000 barrels, gasoline […]

US Considering EU Proposal to Revive Iranian Nuclear Deal

August 15, 2022

The Baker Hughes Rig Count was up 3 oil rigs to a total of 601 and last year there were 397. The energy market is trading down to start a new week as data out of China shows that their economy slowed in July. This news has traders concerned that […]

Shell Takes Three Offshore Drilling Rigs Offline

August 12, 2022

Shell was forced to shut in production on three Gulf of Mexico offshore deep water platforms due to a pipe issues. This will impact 410,000 bpd of production. This week is a volatile one with early down days finishing higher and early up days finishing lower. This is the result […]

Lower Gas Prices Offer Inflation Relief

August 10, 2022

The API weekly inventory numbers called crude oil stocks up 2.15 million barrels, gasoline stocks down 627,000 and distillates up 1.37 million. The Reuters survey for today’s DOE reports is saying crude oil and gasoline to be down 400,000 and diesel to be roughly unchanged. Crude oil prices feel slightly […]

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