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Market Commentary

US Shale Oil Producers Increase Output

August 10, 2023

US propane inventories built by 1.327 million barrels putting total stocks at 89.950 million barrels. Midwest inventories were up 699,00 barrels putting total Midwest inventories at 23.660 million barrels. Gulf Coast inventories were up 307,000 barrels putting total Gulf Coast inventories at 52.891 million barrels. Despite the build propane prices […]

China’s Consumer Price Index Falls for First Time in Two Years

August 9, 2023

Crude oil prices closed higher in yesterday’s trading after falling in the early morning trading hours. Prices fell on poor economic data from China. Their exports and imports were worse than expected raising concerns about their economy and price felt this pressure. But prices rebound later in the day and […]

Weak Chinese Economic Data, Bank Downgrades Create Selloff

August 8, 2023

Oil prices have sold off here this morning as there was some weak economic data from China, and Moody’s downgraded the credit rating of 10 midsize and small US banks, adding to the risks of stress in the banking sector. Chinese crude oil imports fell 16% from June to July […]

US Oil Rig Numbers Continue to Fall

August 7, 2023

Oil rigs continue to fall supporting the outlook for lower US crude oil production. Oil rigs according to the Baker Hughes Rig Count Report fell by 4 to a total of 525 and last year for this same reporting week oil rigs were 598. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US were […]

Crude Oil is Headed for Sixth Straight Week of Rising Prices

August 4, 2023

Crude oil prices rallied in yesterday’s trading as news hit that Saudi Arabia will extend their voluntary additional oil output cut of 1 million bpd through September versus August. OPEC+ oil output cuts now total approximately 5.16 million bpd through September. Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister, Alexander Novak, said Russia will […]

Crude Prices Fall on US Credit Downgrade

August 3, 2023

Crude oil prices fell sharply yesterday after news late on Tuesday that Fitch downgraded the US long term foreign currency default rating to AA+ from AAA due to rising US debt. Oil prices fell despite EIA reporting a massive drop of 17 million barrels in total US oil stocks and […]

Bullish Inventory Report Aids Energy Rally

August 2, 2023

The API delivered a very bullish inventory report yesterday. Crude stocks were down 15.4 million barrels, gasoline down 1.68 million barrels and distillates down 512,000 barrels. The average estimates for today’s DOE inventories update from the Bloomberg survey are crude stocks down 713,000, gasoline down 1.407, and distillates down 89,000. […]

Fuel Prices Rose Steadily Throughout July

July 31, 2023

The Baker Hughes Rig Count report said that oil rigs were down 1 to a total of 529 and last year there were 604. US crude oil rigs have fallen by 92 rigs so far for this year of 2023. Today is the last trading day for July, and over […]

US GDP Comes in Higher than Expected

July 28, 2023

The energy markets were up again yesterday as a solid bullish move higher has now taken front-month WTI crude oil to its 200-day moving average. A break and settlement above that level could bring in more buying. The market was influenced by US GDP coming in higher than expected. The […]

IMF Says Global Economy Headed in Right Direction

July 26, 2023

The average estimates from the Bloomberg survey for today’s DOE inventory update are for crude oil inventories to decline 2.123 million barrels, gasoline inventories down 1.591 million barrels, and distillates down 822,000 barrels. The API inventory number released yesterday afternoon called crude oil inventoried up 1.3 million barrels, gasoline down […]

Supply Concerns Push Crude Prices Higher

July 25, 2023

The energy markets traded higher yesterday driven by news of some refinery issues and maintenance. RBOB was the market that traded up the most as news hit that ExxonMobil refinery in Baton Rouge may be idled for a few weeks of repairs. Also, there is an upcoming turnaround at Monroe […]

Distillate Stocks Remain 15% Below 10-Year Averages

July 24, 2023

Oil rigs were down 7 to 530 rigs, the sixth consecutive week of declines. Last year at this time there were 599 oil rigs. The falling rigs and the low stocks, especially of distillates, is getting attention. Jon Kemp of Reuters had an article last week about how the funds […]

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