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Market Commentary

Energy Market Rebounds on Fed News

November 3, 2023

The energy market rebounded in yesterday’s trading keeping WTI crude oil price above $80 dollar per barrel. Crude was supported by a big drop in the US dollar index after the Fed decided on 11/1/2023 to not raise interest rates. There have not been any real big news headlines to […]

Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady

November 2, 2023

The DOE inventory report called crude oil stocks up 770,000, gasoline stocks up 70,000, and distillate stocks down 790,000. Total crude oil stocks are now at 421.893 million barrels and there were 436.830 million barrels last year. Total gasoline stocks are now at 223.522 million barrels and last year there […]

Crude Weakens on World News

November 1, 2023

In yesterday’s trading crude oil prices were down and refined fuel products price were up slightly. Crude was lower on weaker than expected manufacturing and services in China, Eurozone inflation falling to 2.9% in October from 4.3% in September which pushed up the US dollar index and pushed down oil […]

Chinese Manufacturing Data Was Bearish for October

October 31, 2023

Friday WTI crude oil rallied to the top of its recent trading range on some bullish headlines. Nothing major happened over the weekend and today the prices sold off to the bottom of the recent trading range. With all the uncertainty the downside is probably somewhat limited but for now […]

Average New Car Payment for US Consumers Hits Record High

October 30, 2023

The following is from Bloomberg. Shoppers are still spending on Halloween decorations, a sign that high interest rates haven’t slowed growth. The following is from the Kobeissi Letter. The average new car payment at a record $730 per month. Average new car loan rate at a record 9.9%. Average used […]

Eurozone Business Activity Contracts, Prompting Recession Speculation

October 25, 2023

The API reported their inventory update yesterday late afternoon, and it had crude oil stocks down 2.7 million barrels, gasoline stocks were down 4.2 million barrels, and distillate stocks were down 2.3 million barrels. The average estimates for today’s EIA inventory update from the Bloomberg survey is for crude stocks […]

Israel May Delay Ground Attack in Gaza

October 24, 2023

Group ULSD basis was falling hard in yesterday’s cash market after it had rallied all the way to a $1.00 over futures. Yesterday cash basis fell over half of the dollar move higher to get into a much more balance and “normal” situation. Volatility has been high on both the […]

US Seeks to Buy 6M Barrels for Strategic Petroleum Reserve

October 23, 2023

The Baker Hughes Rig Count was up one to 502 total oil rigs. Last year at this time there were 570 oil rigs. Group ULSD basis did jump up early in the day on Friday another ten cents but eased off that high as the day wore on. Crude oil, […]

ULSD Basis Jumps on Strong Harvest Demand

October 19, 2023

WTI crude oil is a little softer today on the news that the US and Venezuela have agreed that the US can license more companies to do business in Venezuela which will help oil flows. Of course, with all the other uncertainties in the Middle East the downside is limited. […]

Biden Visits Israel, Putin in China

October 18, 2023

WTI crude oil is trading a dollar higher as of this writing as the news is full of headlines and stories that could impact energy markets. The biggest story is the explosion at a hospital in Gaza that Israel is blaming on Hamas and Hamas is blaming Israel. Iran’s rhetoric […]

Crude Prices Fall as US Considers Lifting Sanctions on Venezuela

October 17, 2023

Crude oil prices fell in yesterday’s trading mainly due to the news that the US and Venezuela may reach a deal to lift US sanctions against Venezuela on oil sales Venezuela has the world’s largest proved oil reserves. In order to ease sanctions Venezuela is required to have a monitored […]

Largest US Oil Storage Facility Could Face Operational Issues

October 16, 2023

Energy prices took a big jump on Friday mainly driven by the US putting sanction on two shipping companies alleged to have violated the G& price cap on handle Russian crude. The ongoing situation in Israel keeps the market uneasy and prices jump or ease back on the news headlines. […]

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