Market Commentary
Ukrainian drone attack damages Caspian Pipeline
February 19, 2025
Ukraine launched a drone attack that damaged the Caspian Pipeline that handles crude oil from Kazakhstan. The drone attack damaged a pumping station, and the flows of crude oil are expected to be down 30 to 40% for a couple months. The estimated amount is roughly 400,000 bpd. Crude prices […]
Russia and US meet to discuss peace in Ukraine
February 18, 2025
The energy markets were closed yesterday, and it was a very quiet day. There was not a lot of new energy news. These markets are still stuck until an event or major announcement comes out. I am not a very good bear as my bias leans toward what could potentially […]
Treasury Secretary Bessent says US wants to squeeze Iranian oil exports
February 17, 2025
The energy markets are closed today for President’s Day, so no forward contacts are available today. Baker Hughes reported that oil rigs were up 1 to a total of 481 and last year there were 497 oil rigs in operation. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US aims to squeeze […]
Most blacklisted Russian tankers have stopped transporting crude
February 14, 2025
According to ship tracking data compiled by Bloomberg, about 60% of 94 of the active tankers blacklisted by the Biden administration last month for their involvement in the Russian oil trade have stopped transporting oil for Russia or anyone else. While there are no signs, yet that Russian’s output has […]
Peace talks put pressure on energy prices
February 13, 2025
The EIA reported a draw of 2.571 million barrels to propane inventories. Total inventories are at 58.858 million and last year they were 56.900. Midwest stocks were down 1.062 million to 13.906 million total barrels and last year they were 14.314. Gulf Coast inventories were down 560,000 to a total […]
US oil production poised to grow
February 12, 2025
The API inventory report called crude oil stocks up 9.043 million barrels, gasoline supplies down 2.507 million and distillates down 590,000. The average estimates from the Bloomberg survey from today’s DOE inventory update are calling crude oil up 2.516 million barrels, gasoline up 545,000 and distillates down 1.478 million. The […]
US announces new sanctions on Iranian oil
February 11, 2025
Crude oil prices closed higher yesterday driven mainly by the new US sanctions against Iran’s crude oil exports and news that Russia’s Federal Antimonopoly Service may initiate a 1-month ban on gasoline exports by large producers to stabilize wholesale prices ahead of the crop-sowing season. The tighter Russian supplies helped […]
Market reacts to weak Chinese manufacturing and the threat of tariffs
January 28, 2025
Energy prices were down yesterday on weak economic manufacturing data from China. The ongoing threat of tariffs from President Trump also keeps the market uneasy. China is saying that several of its independent refineries are shutting down for an uncertain amount of time as the economics are not favorable currently, […]
Investors build bullish position on petroleum
January 20, 2025
Energy markets are closed today and there are no forward contracts available today. The energy markets have continued to push higher on the bullish narratives of more sanctions on Russia tightening up supplies, China stimulus measures helping their economy improve and with its energy demand, a better outlook for the […]
BoA forecasts crude just above $65 per barrel in 2025
January 10, 2025
Well, the market jumped up as it began today’s trading. As I write this HO is up .1018, Gas up .0596 and crude oil up 3.04. The market needed some bullish news to give it a shove to the upside and they are now saying more sanctions are coming in […]
Global crude volume declined 2% in 2024
January 7, 2025
Crude oil and gasoline prices rose significantly in the early morning trading hours but fell later in the day and closed slightly lower. ULSD price closed at the highest level since October 7 due to a winter storm in the US increasing heating oil demand which is part of the […]
Production continues to outpace demand
January 6, 2025
Crude oil prices are up this morning on the news that Saudi Arabia raised prices for Asian buyers next month. This could be an indication that Saudi Arabia the world largest exporter sees tighter supplies in its largest market. This situation is helped by OPEC+ continuing to stick with production […]

