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All Market Commentary

Energy prices bounce from recent lows

April 25, 2025

China’s government could be suspending some of its 125% tariffs on some US imports, including ethane and possibly propane. There could be additional exceptions as well and this news is being seen as encouraging this morning and has put a bit of softness in prices.

Energy prices have bounced off their recent lows and climbed over the last two weeks. In a bit of a surprise gasoline physical market have tighten up a bit and this week saw a good jump in demand. Tight physicals supplies and increased demand could help support prices but there is still a lot of noise and confusion around these markets. I am not sure there is any true conviction at this time.

With the decline in crude prices shale drillers are adjusting their plans. With crude near $60 and many estimating that breakeven is around $65 dollars it only makes sense. Blackridge Resources, and independent operator in Appalachia announced that they are pairing back on drilling. This sentiment has been echoed by oilfield service companies like Baker Hughes, and Halliburton who have announced they are expecting to see a downturn in business.

Reuters reported that Kazakhstan’s public defiance of the OPEC+ oil prodctuion alliance could signal its exit from the group and push Saudi Arabia into a price war.

OPEC+ deals with over production
All eyes on trade negotiations

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